Cabinet Analysis (2004)

This week the liberals and the conservatives released the cabinet and shadow cabinets. Usually selecting a cabinet is just housekeeping but after an election where the liberals were lowered to a minority, the selection of cabinet becomes much more important. The liberals lost six cabinet ministers but decided to make bigger changes because they lost more ground than they planned to the three opposition parties. Stephen Harper’s task was easier because he did not lose any key critics and was free to chose what MP’s he wanted to remove from shadow cabinet and which he wanted to include. Martin kept the same mode and was not as tough as he should have been on his liabilities. (Lapierre) Harper dumped Cheryl Gallant, Randy White, and Myron Thompson from his shadow cabinet. Nevertheless, he did stumble in keeping Stockwell Day in cabinet. More importantly, his team looks more prime ministerial as he matched critics with ministers instead of having critics like family values and child pornography.

Here is the scorecard for the cabinet and shadow cabinet for the 13 most important positions. Liberals barely edged out the conservatives.

Liberals: 7/13 (54%)

Conservatives: 6/13 (46%)

1. House Leader: Conservatives win

Tony Valeri: House leader someone who is a good mediator and highly respected. Someone who was the public face of the removal of Sheila Copps, he cannot speak French, and nearly lost his riding is not a prime candidate for the position that in a minority is the second PM. Bill Graham fit the prerequisite for this position.

John Reynolds: Served through rough times for the alliance and manoeuvred carefully to keep the alliance afloat.

2. Foreign Affairs: Liberals win

Pierre Pettigrew: Graham was better but Pettigrew does not have much to compete against with as far as his critic is concerned. Bad move switching foreign affairs minister in middle of Iran dispute. With the upcoming missile defence negotiations, Pettigrew is going to have to make tough decisions and try to be conciliatory to the Bloc and NDP if the liberals decide to join. How well he does could determine the length of the minority government.

Stockwell Day: Rahim Jaffir would have been a better choice. Having a Muslim with political experience would transform the conservative’s perception of having a foreign policy dominated by Christian evangelists.

3. Finance: Liberals win

Ralph Goodale: Good for stability. It would have been unwise to have a fourth finance minister in less than a 2-year period. He is going to have to balance the budget and opposition party demands.

Monte Solberg: Former Alliance MP holds key post. This should have been Belinda’s job.

4. Health: Liberals win

Uijal Dosanjh: Former NDP premier. A social democrat is an ideal choice for this position.

Steven Fletcher: Victor of the biggest upset in the election. He deserved a good critic position but they should have appointed someone with more experienced because this could be the most important shadow cabinet position. Loyata Hearn would be a good sign giving a key position to a conservative from Atlantic Canada to build trust in the region.

5. Intergovernmental affairs: Conservatives win

Lucienne Robillard: Essential post for negotiating a new health deal with the provinces. The liberals have a liberal government in Quebec. They should appoint a liberal from a province where a conservative government is in power. Scott Brison would have been a better choice. The liberals should reward the progressive conservatives in Atlantic Canada who switched to the liberals.

Rona Ambrose: Fresh blood from Alberta is part of Harper’s surprise strategy that gave more shadow posts to woman than Martin’s cabinet. Also being from Alberta where the tension is the highest between the two levels of government is a plus.

6. Defence: Liberals win

Bill Graham: Great foreign affairs minister is probably the best-qualified liberal to move to defence that was similar to foreign affairs.

Gordon O’Connor: O’Connor has business experience, no policy experience, which makes him a weak pick. Chuck Strahl the leader of the Day insurrection should be rewarded for saving the party.

7. Environment: Liberals win.

Stephane Dion: He should been in the first Martin cabinet. One of Chrétien’s top ministers is back where he belongs. He executed the clarity act and now has to make a plan to implement Kyoto.

Bob Mills: Someone else should have taken this job instead of a former alliance from Alberta who does not believe in pollution. Stephen Fletcher would have been good choice because of his huge upset and he is an outdoor enthusiast.

8. Deputy Prime Minister: Liberals win

Anne McLellan: Liberals needed her to win and she did. A respected liberal from Alberta that gained support from all political stripes including former PC PM Joe Clark who called her the best MP from Alberta.

Peter MacKay: Good choice except, he should have the public works critic position also. It would have added sparks to see him square off with Scott Brison.

9. Transport: Conservatives win

Jean Lapierre: Brilliant move appointing a former separatist is responsible for the Bloc’s revival. However, good news for Bombardier having a transport minister from Québec. The liberals have never had a transport minister from out west during their 11-year reign. David Emerson a former forestry exec and member of Vancouver airport authority would have been a more creditable choice.

Rob Nicholson: Good move appointing a former PCer to this new position.

10. Indian Affairs: Conservatives win

Andy Scott: Let us look at his qualifications. He was solicitor general responsible for the pepper spray incident whose loose lips on a plane flight planned to name an RCMP officer as a scapegoat. Indian affairs need someone with a good human rights record. Good choice Paul. Ethel Blondin-Andrew a former aboriginal language specialist and from the NWT would have been an ideal choice.

Jim Prentice: This former PC candidate is a great choice for this position that should not have a right-wing ideologue holding it. Moderates appointed for the conservatives make them a mainstream party.

11. Trade: Conservatives win

Jim Peterson: Martin loyalist. Martin continues to allow himself to sink with them. See Jean Lapierre. John McCallum should have gotten this position. If he is not involved with something involved in economics, he is useless.

Belinda Stronach: She could have got a higher portfolio but can do damage to the liberals in this position.

12. Agriculture: Conservatives win

Andrew Mitchell: David Kilgour, an Alberta MP should have got this position. He does have part of rural Alberta in his riding.

Diane Finley: Yet another woman appointed to the shadow cabinet. Martin regrets running Sheila Copps out of the party. Paul Martin’s proposal for more women in cabinet is not looking to good compared to Harper’s picks. She has some experience in managing an agriculture equipment company.

13. Treasury Board: Liberals win

Reg Alcock: Experience needed for this integral position. This position is going to be vital because the liberals have to show their spending money wisely and make spending concessions to the other parties in this minority government.

Guy Lauzon: Has been a MP for a few weeks. Gary Lunn an experienced former alliance MP with a solid record would have been a much better choice.

If I were a cabinetmaker:

  1. Deputy Prime Minister and Ambassador to the US

Senator John Manley: Move would shock the opposition. Under a minority government, the deputy prime minister’s position because irrelevant. In the last minority government of Joe Clark, he did not both having a deputy PM. This is the first time there has been a deputy PM in a minority government. The job has developed into chief critic of the opposition parties and under a minority government, the cabinet needs to act as a mediator. There is nothing wrong with appointing a minister from the senate. It would enough of an incentive for Manley to accept the position. If he were just the ambassador, a parliamentary secretary would have more power than he would. But as deputy PM he would be a senior cabinet minister and the US would take new interest in Canada because we are sending are deputy PM to represent ourselves their. John Manly would be a senator and would just have to be in the Senate for a few weeks of the year that would be a better attendance record then most senators. In addition, the deputy Prime Minister would not have to be appeasing to the opposition because he would not have to work with them.

2. House Leader and Minister Responsible for Canadians Abroad
Bill Graham: A minister since 9/11 who had to deal with Washingtonduring some testy times involving the Iraq war. Respected by all parties could is a prerequisite for co-ordinating the strategy of a minority government. Also by giving him the responsibility of Canadians abroad, he could still deal with Iran in the Zhara Khazami case.

3. Foreign Affairs

Pierre Pettigrew: With Graham out as foreign minister Pettigrew could move in because of his experience as trade minister.

4. Finance

Ralph Goodale: It was a solid move for Martin to keep his finance minister and show some signs of stability in his minority government.

5. Social Advancement

Uijal Dosanjh: Renaming the health ministry would ease the tension with the provinces. Ottawa could alter its role by not being a watchdog for the provinces but a facilitator that would provide financial assistance and co-ordinate a common health policy between the provinces. In addition, this ministry would be responsible for education and carry out a more integrated role for the federal government in education.

6. Provincial-Federal Affairs and Unity Minister

Scott Brison: The federal government should split the intergovernmental affairs in two. The Provincial-Federal Affairs minister would co-ordinate discussions between the federal and provincial governments.

7. Cities Minister

John Godfrey: The second ministry would deal exclusively with cities and bypass the provincial governments.

8. Defence, Public Security, Solicitor-General

Anne McLellan: It would make sense if public security and the defence minister occupied the same portfolio. As Canada’s first female defence minister she would also be responsible for dealing with national missile defence.

9. Transport

David Emerson: Important ministry due to Air Canada’s woes should be an easier portfolio to manage in a minority government. Canada could use a national transportation plan for our airplanes and public transit. All the parties same the share the same interests in this portfolio.

10. First Nations

Ethel Blondin-Andrew: Why do they still call it Indian affairs? They should have a more politically name and do something about aboriginal poverty.

11. Trade

John McCallum: Give McCallum once last chance to redeem himself.

12. Agriculture

David Kilgour: Give an Albertan the responsibility of getting the border fully open. He has worked a bit on mad cow disease and has experience as a junior minister.

13. Treasury

Reg Alcock: The watchdog on finances is an important role that could lead to advancement or the end of a political career. Jean Chrétien’s political stock soared when he got the nickname of “Dr. No” for attempting to control government spending.

14. Justice

Irwin Cotter: Newcomer who does not need to be replaced.

15. Industry

Lucienne Robillard: There was no point of moving her out of industry.

16. Canadian Pride

Ken Dryden: Renaming Canadian Heritage into something relevant would make it have a broader mandate. The government cannot be pacifist in regards to media ownership, the internet, protecting consumers from the music labels, and maintaining Canadian content. In addition, the department could evolve to bloc foreign takeovers if they harm Canadian identity. It could block the Molson’s merger and look at the CN.

17. Human Resources and Immigration

Joe Volpe: He has been in the job too short to be replaced.

18. Natural Resources

Ruben John Efford:  One of Martin’s good moves adding a Newfoundlander to oversee resources.

19. Youth

Tony Ianno: He has to be rewarded for holding his own against Olivia Chow.

20. Minister Responsible for Maintenance of Public Facilities on Parliament Hill

Jean Lapierre: An appropriate job for his contribution to the liberal campaign in Quebec.


Related Rants:

United Right Fails to sink Martin; Left makes big strides

Vote Liberal (2004)

Paul Martin's New Democratic Deficit

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Updated: April 22, 2007
Created: July 23, 2004

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