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Joe's Election Predictions (2004)With rumors filling the air with an election call this Sunday, its time to predict the future, since a lot has changed in my last prediction.LIBERALS  Oh how the mighty
have fallen.
Our lord and savior Paul Martin is human. A Liberal (capital L) can't
change it stripes. Paul is starting look like John Turner of this era.
I don't think he will take as big of a tumble as Turner. This whole
scandal thing is really going to hurt them, and its good that this
third world country crap that happened during the Chrétien
regime. Too bad no one will be accountable. They will get most of their
support, and loses from Ontario and Quebec, average everywhere else. Seats: 142 Popular Vote: 35% CONSERVATIVES  Oh
how the mighty have merged. Its no secret that this is my party. I
think that they will Obviously improve from where they are at, but not
nearly enough to form a government. I really think having Harper as the
leader will hurt them in the long run since most non-partisan people I
know wouldn't mind seeing a Conservative government, but not with
Stephen Harper with his finger on the button. Should be status quo in
the west, little bit of loses in Atlantic Canada, gains in Ontario, and
microscopic still in Quebec (why they are not a government). Seats: 95 Popular Vote: 29% NEW DEMOCRATS  Well, the
mathematically challenged
Jack Layton may have shaken the notion that this group is not New, not
Democratic, and not a Party. He may have energized the left wing again
in Canada, but the party is still on life support. They will get some
gains in urban and union areas, but not much. Seats: 26 Popular Vote: 18% BLOC QUEBECOIS  With the sponsorship
scandal bringing
to life the Bloc, they should actually make gains in Quebec, because
they looked like they were out of the picture. They are lucky there is
no competition in Quebec besides the Liberals. They could be a factor
in a minority collation. Seats: 44 Popular Vote: 12% (Quebec 50%) GREEN  These guys seem to
be making the
polls now, and if there was proportional representation in Canada, they
would have a few seats. In B.C. they are polling in at 13%. I think it
will be very unlikely they will get a seat, but lets have fun and say
they will win one on Vancouver Island. Seats: 1 Popular Vote: 6% So it looks like a Liberal minority government, and the first minority since Joe Clark and the PC's in 1979. The Liberals will most likely make a deal with the NDP to prop them up. I doubt it will last a whole mandate. Related Rants: Peter's Power Pull Joe's Final Election Predictions (2004) Election 2004 ... and The Future canadianwild.ca Feedback0 Comments canadianwild.ca Interactive: Your Chance To Rant |
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