Joe's 2006 After Debate Prediction

Conservative Party - 130 Seats

The Tories have to just sit around and watch the poll numbers rise as the Grits keep shooting themselves in the foot. They have run a decent campaign so far with few bumps on the road. The only big one now is the B.C. candidate accused of bringing "a few" bottles of booze over the border. He was in a close riding and this my push the NDP to win that seat, therefore Harper won't need to worry about it after the election. I still do not think that they will get a majority.

Liberal Party of Canada - 86 Seats

What can I say...Paul is putting himself in the same company as John Turner and Kim Campbell. I could write pages on how he and his team have messed up, from the beer and popcorn, to the attack ads, to the notwithstanding clause. The more interesting story after will be the Liberal leadership, there has to be at let 8 to 10 people very interested in that job, many of them high profile.

New Democratic Party of Canada - 31 Seats

Well they should pick up a few seats here and there across the country, but they can't seem to make that breakthrough. I think that English debate moderator said it best to Layton - you haven't said yet what you want to be Prime Minister, and Layton couldn't really respond to it.

Bloc Quebecois - 61 seats

Not much to say about them, they don't have too much work to do except in the ridings they want to steal. The rise of the Tories is a both good and bad for them, since they can split the vote in some ridings, but in others the federalist vote may push the Tories to winning seats instead of the Bloc.

Green Party - 0 seats

They just do not have enough votes in specific ridings to win a seat. I guess they can hope for PR to come in and then they will be able to take some seats.

Joe's National Breakdown

BC

CON 20
LIB 8
NDP 8

AB

CON 28
LIB 0
NDP 0

SK

CON 12
LIB 1
NDP 1

MB

CON 7
LIB 3
NDP 4

ON

CON 49
LIB 43
NDP 14

PQ

BQ 61
LIB 11
CON 3

NB

CON 3
LIB 6
NDP 1

NS

CON 4
LIB 5
NDP 2

PEI

LIB 4
CON 0

NL

CON 4
LIB 3
NDP 0

TERR

CON 0
LIB 2
NDP 1

Related Rants:

Joe's 2005-2006 Winter Election Predictions

Winter Election 2005-06 News Centre

Election 2004 ... and the future

canadianwild.ca Interactive: Your Chance To Rant

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Updated: February 24, 2007
Created: January 12, 2006

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